Options Skew Analytics

STX options analytics

STX · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

Some metrics unavailable for this session

STX options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 70.7%, a move of about ±20.3% over the next month. That is higher than 97% of the 215 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta calls carry 1.65 volatility points more than the puts, closer together than on 95% of the past year.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-27 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±8.9% and STX moved 774.8% on average, staying inside the priced band 0 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
70.71%

Prices a move of about ±20.3% over 30 days, or ±4.5% on a typical day.

Higher than 97% of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-1.65

Calls carry 1.65 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

Higher than 5% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.85

The wings carry 0.85 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.009

90-day and 30-day options carry about the same volatility.

Higher than 47% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 215 prior sessions (one-year window)

70.7% — 97th percentile
25.6%79.9%
IV percentile, 1 year
97%
IV rank, 1 year
83%
IV percentile, 2 years
97%
IV rank, 2 years
83%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$923.86
30-day implied forward
$925.60
60-day ATM IV
74.23%
90-day ATM IV
71.37%
180-day ATM IV
—
Expirations used
10
Total open interest
133,241
Put / call open interest
0.68

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 222 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%5 Sep26 Nov21 Feb8 May23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2370.71%-1.651.009$923.86
2026-09-2271.31%-1.771.016$919.84
2026-09-2166.86%+0.661.042$877.33
2026-09-1865.20%+1.201.048$858.79
2026-09-1764.61%+0.361.082$803.13
2026-09-1665.20%+0.381.094$783.18
2026-09-1566.30%-0.281.074$771.81
2026-09-1464.89%-0.271.116$805.55
2026-09-1165.12%-1.381.107$830.17
2026-09-1067.08%-1.641.090$862.33
2026-09-0970.74%-4.081.063$885.92
2026-09-0876.82%-5.141.006$904.38
2026-09-0467.65%-2.441.074$849.28
2026-09-0367.33%-1.551.057$798.61
2026-09-0264.20%+0.551.106$808.54
2026-09-0165.84%+0.021.084$816.64
2026-08-3165.05%-0.021.105$828.38
2026-08-2864.95%-3.041.108$829.76
2026-08-2768.52%-0.981.070$847.20
2026-08-2667.11%-0.231.109$846.37
2025-06-3043.69%+3.030.872$144.33
2025-06-2742.75%+0.930.895$141.44
2025-06-2640.77%+0.860.941$140.69
2025-06-2538.07%+2.651.014$138.54
2025-06-2433.51%+2.661.129$136.31
2025-06-2333.70%+2.861.140$133.08
2025-06-2033.22%+3.811.177$130.96
2025-06-1832.30%+3.061.208$131.30
2025-06-1733.87%+3.821.171$130.87
2025-06-1632.69%+4.431.188$131.04
2025-06-1332.75%+4.351.209$127.27
2025-06-1233.53%-0.741.146$126.07
2025-06-1132.00%+1.801.211$126.49
2025-06-1031.93%+1.941.215$127.99
2025-06-0930.85%+0.301.257$130.17
2025-06-0630.49%+1.771.222$126.97
2025-06-0532.46%+4.621.177$127.70
2025-06-0432.16%+1.611.161$127.64
2025-06-0333.84%-0.291.074$123.23
2025-06-0225.62%+6.971.470$119.15
2025-05-3032.12%+4.411.169$117.94
2025-05-2934.36%+2.551.106$118.14
2025-05-2834.36%+3.671.129$117.34
2025-05-2733.70%+4.171.143$117.05
2025-05-2333.45%+5.261.158$112.74
2025-05-2231.82%+3.311.166$108.86
2025-05-2136.58%+4.151.062$104.43
2025-05-2034.04%+4.101.078$106.97
2025-05-1933.85%+3.341.035$109.04
2025-05-1634.15%+3.671.007$107.79
2025-05-1534.29%+3.541.007$107.43
2025-05-1433.07%+3.791.003$105.19
2025-05-13———$105.47
2025-05-1230.59%+5.291.048$101.95
2025-05-0934.27%+4.701.030$95.71
2025-05-0835.25%+3.900.999$96.30
2025-05-0735.91%+4.660.983$95.45
2025-05-0635.98%+4.611.014$93.90
2025-05-0532.51%+4.261.101$93.58
2025-05-0237.52%+4.720.948$93.07
2025-05-0133.93%+7.821.067$90.01
2025-04-3039.83%+8.320.946$91.03
2025-04-2949.61%+5.500.834$81.60
2025-04-2849.47%+3.210.882$82.16
2025-04-2551.10%+6.130.825$82.70
2025-04-2451.98%+7.210.826$83.04
2025-04-2358.32%+7.400.810$78.09
2025-04-2257.78%+9.320.834$75.36
2025-04-2162.68%+7.510.802$73.93
2025-04-1755.65%+10.100.839$75.78
2025-04-1660.13%+13.240.841$72.82
2025-04-1558.31%+12.360.802$72.00
2025-04-1461.92%+14.560.807$72.67
2025-04-1168.66%+15.940.802$70.15
2025-04-1069.55%+17.490.731$69.74
2025-04-0965.61%+16.590.810$74.29
2025-04-0877.62%+23.810.869$66.54
2025-04-0779.90%+17.370.767$68.66
2025-04-0476.73%+20.300.792$66.73
2025-04-0362.49%+9.680.802$71.53
2025-04-0241.44%+5.720.924$85.52
2025-04-0146.66%+5.020.832$84.54
2025-03-3146.08%+1.230.788$84.95
2025-03-2844.81%+4.040.849$84.92
2025-03-2743.04%+4.250.854$87.50
2025-03-2650.87%+4.370.711$87.63
2025-03-2540.33%+7.950.891$87.96
2025-03-2436.53%+3.050.972$88.79
2025-03-2139.54%+3.590.930$88.27
2025-03-2039.30%+3.930.946$88.38
2025-03-1939.14%+3.550.957$88.93
2025-03-1836.32%+3.781.058$88.64
2025-03-1735.36%+4.671.074$90.51
2025-03-1436.68%+4.071.053$87.90
2025-03-1339.68%+3.991.025$85.62
2025-03-1240.23%+3.831.069$86.73
2025-03-1142.48%+4.830.988$86.97
2025-03-1045.22%+5.240.933$86.41
2025-03-0741.80%-0.120.951$88.00
2025-03-0637.33%+9.550.960$86.64
2025-03-0536.59%+6.821.027$92.43
2025-03-0440.37%+6.350.920$94.08
2025-03-0340.21%+4.520.901$100.06
2025-02-2834.95%+3.050.983$101.91
2025-02-2731.69%+3.131.148$100.67
2025-02-2633.58%+3.591.037$100.27
2025-02-2534.73%+2.721.015$99.72
2025-02-2433.58%+3.370.995$100.08
2025-02-2133.87%+1.500.973$100.85
2025-02-2030.67%+2.351.055$102.64
2025-02-1931.65%+1.671.034$103.00
2025-02-1832.62%+2.121.022$103.10
2025-02-1430.61%+0.421.026$101.47
2025-02-1331.71%+1.151.065$101.48
2025-02-1232.29%+2.201.006$99.21
2025-02-1132.55%+2.510.994$97.83
2025-02-1032.46%+2.590.992$97.80
2025-02-0732.17%+2.731.007$96.15
2025-02-0632.03%+2.811.005$96.54
2025-02-0534.30%+1.880.987$95.43

The chart covers every session in the archive, 222 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 222 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.05 Sep26 Nov21 Feb8 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

2d (2026-09-25) · 9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09)

65%70%75%80%85%90%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ C — IV 85.48%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ C — IV 83.03%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ C — IV 82.08%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ C — IV 80.96%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ C — IV 81.21%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ C — IV 80.69%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ C — IV 80.25%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ C — IV 80.07%2026-09-25 (2d) — ATM — IV 79.96%2026-09-25 (2d) — 45Δ P — IV 79.91%2026-09-25 (2d) — 40Δ P — IV 80.04%2026-09-25 (2d) — 35Δ P — IV 80.05%2026-09-25 (2d) — 30Δ P — IV 80.42%2026-09-25 (2d) — 25Δ P — IV 80.11%2026-09-25 (2d) — 20Δ P — IV 80.28%2026-09-25 (2d) — 15Δ P — IV 80.71%2026-09-25 (2d) — 10Δ P — IV 82.12%2026-09-25 (2d) — 5Δ P — IV 83.05%2d2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ C — IV 78.81%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ C — IV 76.17%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ C — IV 75.49%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 75.27%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 75.10%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 74.64%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 72.75%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 73.55%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 72.64%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 73.81%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 73.73%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 72.56%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 72.27%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 72.82%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ P — IV 72.54%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ P — IV 73.53%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ P — IV 75.35%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ C — IV 74.42%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ C — IV 73.47%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 72.79%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 72.15%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 71.36%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 71.33%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 70.81%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 70.88%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 70.65%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 71.00%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 70.49%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 70.70%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 70.66%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 70.67%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 70.51%2026-10-09 (16d) — 15Δ P — IV 71.33%2026-10-09 (16d) — 10Δ P — IV 74.30%16d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta2d9d16d
10Δ call85.48%78.81%74.42%
15Δ call83.03%76.17%73.47%
20Δ call82.08%75.49%72.79%
25Δ call80.96%75.27%72.15%
30Δ call81.21%75.10%71.36%
35Δ call80.69%74.64%71.33%
40Δ call80.25%72.75%70.81%
45Δ call80.07%73.55%70.88%
ATM79.96%72.64%70.65%
45Δ put79.91%73.81%71.00%
40Δ put80.04%73.73%70.49%
35Δ put80.05%72.56%70.70%
30Δ put80.42%72.27%70.66%
25Δ put80.11%72.82%70.67%
20Δ put80.28%72.54%70.51%
15Δ put80.71%73.53%71.33%
10Δ put82.12%75.35%74.30%
5Δ put83.05%——

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-09-252$921.8579.96%80.11%80.96%-0.85+0.5848
2026-10-029$923.5572.64%72.82%75.27%-2.45+1.4064
2026-10-0916$925.1570.65%70.67%72.15%-1.48+0.7680
2026-10-1623$923.7170.35%69.59%71.25%-1.66+0.0781
2026-10-2330$925.6070.71%70.74%72.39%-1.65+0.8586
2026-10-3037$925.5375.56%75.03%76.58%-1.54+0.2585
2026-11-2058$928.7974.54%74.06%76.11%-2.05+0.5597
2026-12-1886$931.6271.53%71.91%73.33%-1.42+1.09114
2027-01-15114$934.1570.65%70.34%71.67%-1.34+0.35117
2027-03-19177$941.5371.30%71.45%72.69%-1.24+0.77133

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

10 listed expirations produced a usable reading

65%70%75%80%85%2026-09-25 — 2 days — at-the-money IV 79.96%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 72.64%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 70.65%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 70.35%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 70.71%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 75.56%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 74.54%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 71.53%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 70.65%2027-03-19 — 177 days — at-the-money IV 71.30%7306090days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-09-252 days$921.8579.96%$923.4748
2026-10-029 days$923.5572.64%$929.5864
2026-10-0916 days$925.1570.65%$935.3380
2026-10-1623 days$923.7170.35%$938.2381
2026-10-2330 days$925.6070.71%$944.8286
2026-10-3037 days$925.5375.56%$952.7085
2026-11-2058 days$928.7974.54%$970.7197
2026-12-1886 days$931.6271.53%$989.49114
2027-01-15114 days$934.1570.65%$1,009.89117
2027-03-19177 days$941.5371.30%$1,065.03133

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
70.71%
60 days
74.23%
90 days
71.37%
180 days
—

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 222 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.605 Sep26 Nov21 Feb8 May23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-27Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
0 of 3
0% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
8.9%
Mean move that happened
774.8%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-28After the close———
2026-04-28After the close———
2026-01-27After the close———
2025-10-28After the close———
2025-07-30After the close———
2025-07-29After the close———
2025-04-29After the close9.1%+937.2%102.89×
2025-01-21After the close8.9%+735.9%82.83×
2024-10-22After the close8.8%+651.4%73.84×
2024-07-23After the close———
2024-04-23After the close———
2024-01-24After the close———
2023-10-26Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.