Options Skew Analytics

STX options analytics

STX · Stock

Data as of 9 November 2026 (end of day)

STX options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 82.7%, a move of about ±23.7% over the next month. That is higher than 99% of the 248 sessions in its trailing year.

Its 25-delta puts carry 7.85 volatility points more than the calls, which is further than on all but 7% of the past year.

The term structure is inverted: 90-day volatility is 10% below 30-day, which happens when the market prices something dated into the nearer expirations.

Its next earnings report is 2027-01-26 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 6 reports the options market priced an average move of ±8.3% and STX moved 542.9% on average, staying inside the priced band 1 times out of 6.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
82.69%

Prices a move of about ±23.7% over 30 days, or ±5.2% on a typical day.

Higher than almost every reading of the past year.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
+7.85

Puts carry 7.85 volatility points more than calls the same distance from the money.

Higher than 93% of the past year.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+1.13

The wings carry 1.13 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
0.898

90-day volatility is 10% below 30-day.

Higher than 26% of the past year.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 248 prior sessions (one-year window)

82.7% — 99th percentile
25.6%88.8%
IV percentile, 1 year
99%
IV rank, 1 year
90%
IV percentile, 2 years
99%
IV rank, 2 years
90%

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$506.14
30-day implied forward
$506.95
60-day ATM IV
76.34%
90-day ATM IV
74.29%
180-day ATM IV
72.88%
Expirations used
12
Total open interest
175,219
Put / call open interest
1.99

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 317 sessions

20%40%60%80%100%5 Sep7 Jan30 Apr22 Aug9 Nov
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-11-0982.69%+7.850.898$506.14
2026-11-0688.81%+13.690.889$460.99
2026-11-0588.08%+14.610.880$466.53
2026-11-0473.63%+5.750.951$557.06
2026-11-0375.65%+4.610.901$606.38
2026-11-0276.11%+6.840.921$593.76
2026-10-3072.26%+6.730.933$644.58
2026-10-2966.82%+0.320.944$700.47
2026-10-2862.16%+2.291.011$697.97
2026-10-2768.41%+2.260.943$667.85
2026-10-2670.39%+2.360.918$644.21
2026-10-2370.38%+0.880.914$630.49
2026-10-2275.80%+0.160.861$642.14
2026-10-2169.24%+0.720.905$696.89
2026-10-2069.64%-0.150.903$675.13
2026-10-1970.58%-0.450.872$660.81
2026-10-1670.95%+5.810.916$639.01
2026-10-1568.52%+1.050.899$690.81
2026-10-1471.60%-3.530.862$713.54
2026-10-1368.35%-1.350.875$747.20
2026-10-0964.32%+0.660.915$783.00
2026-10-0867.17%-3.490.898$774.83
2026-10-0767.37%-1.610.916$807.57
2026-10-0668.74%-3.720.909$805.63
2026-10-0568.47%-2.840.928$887.09
2026-10-0269.40%-2.360.961$848.99
2026-10-0170.31%-1.790.958$945.57
2026-09-3077.42%-0.340.894$922.34
2026-09-2973.69%-2.920.933$913.45
2026-09-2873.41%+0.670.950$921.51
2026-09-2567.59%-2.121.035$916.83
2026-09-2468.30%-2.881.031$905.92
2026-09-2370.71%-1.651.009$923.86
2026-09-2271.31%-1.771.016$919.84
2026-09-2166.86%+0.661.042$877.33
2026-09-1865.20%+1.201.048$858.79
2026-09-1764.61%+0.361.082$803.13
2026-09-1665.20%+0.381.094$783.18
2026-09-1566.30%-0.281.074$771.81
2026-09-1464.89%-0.271.116$805.55
2026-09-1165.12%-1.381.107$830.17
2026-09-1067.08%-1.641.090$862.33
2026-09-0970.74%-4.081.063$885.92
2026-09-0876.82%-5.141.006$904.38
2026-09-0467.65%-2.441.074$849.28
2026-09-0367.33%-1.551.057$798.61
2026-09-0264.20%+0.551.106$808.54
2026-09-0165.84%+0.021.084$816.64
2026-08-3165.05%-0.021.105$828.38
2026-08-2864.95%-3.041.108$829.76
2026-08-2768.52%-0.981.070$847.20
2026-08-2667.11%-0.231.109$846.37
2025-09-2954.30%-0.110.938$229.14
2025-09-2648.95%+1.930.999$217.51
2025-09-2548.77%+2.571.011$219.85
2025-09-2449.48%-0.551.026$223.70
2025-09-2350.41%-0.651.012$228.13
2025-09-2248.93%-0.631.029$229.33
2025-09-1944.61%+0.681.062$221.23
2025-09-1843.66%+0.731.073$216.64
2025-09-1743.33%+0.731.077$213.36
2025-09-1644.71%+0.451.055$211.13
2025-09-1546.67%-1.371.012$211.12
2025-09-1240.30%+1.431.093$195.99
2025-09-1140.74%+1.461.084$196.81
2025-09-1039.25%+2.721.103$193.04
2025-09-0939.13%+3.031.120$191.59
2025-09-0838.88%+2.361.098$189.24
2025-09-0538.55%+2.641.114$188.16
2025-09-0438.47%+1.051.099$183.98
2025-09-0340.72%+2.971.051$176.32
2025-09-0238.62%+5.051.112$170.50
2025-08-2937.25%+2.261.130$167.40
2025-08-2836.37%+1.501.136$172.38
2025-08-2735.76%+2.531.165$167.24
2025-08-2637.35%+2.411.113$165.24
2025-08-2537.93%+1.491.099$164.00
2025-08-2236.09%+1.941.122$159.21
2025-08-2138.39%+2.341.047$154.60
2025-08-2036.96%+2.321.099$158.40
2025-08-1936.34%+2.231.103$157.93
2025-08-1835.50%+1.441.120$158.70
2025-08-1535.01%+1.791.121$154.43
2025-08-1435.71%+1.281.102$155.73
2025-08-1334.64%+1.871.114$156.92
2025-08-1233.73%+1.581.130$155.59
2025-08-1135.22%+1.881.095$151.69
2025-08-0835.44%+3.861.095$150.45
2025-08-0735.10%+2.391.090$148.10
2025-08-0635.29%+2.431.072$147.27
2025-08-0537.77%+5.171.005$151.74
2025-08-0434.24%+3.601.100$154.81
2025-08-0136.99%+2.711.028$154.81
2025-07-3136.01%+3.121.024$157.01
2025-07-3033.34%+1.811.053$147.42
2025-07-2945.57%+2.040.868$152.68
2025-07-2841.69%+4.150.937$150.46
2025-07-2543.12%+1.200.892$150.89
2025-07-2443.48%+1.420.889$152.73
2025-07-2344.43%+3.110.880$152.76
2025-07-2244.05%+2.490.881$146.59
2025-07-2143.80%+2.370.891$149.63
2025-07-1844.68%+2.040.890$149.08
2025-07-1743.82%+4.090.879$146.72
2025-07-1644.23%+1.330.877$147.12
2025-07-1544.51%+1.280.887$149.05
2025-07-1444.24%+2.140.871$149.08
2025-07-1143.88%+2.180.889$147.18
2025-07-1043.45%-0.260.884$144.50
2025-07-0943.59%+0.830.859$142.01
2025-07-0842.92%+5.600.896$144.47
2025-07-0747.95%+3.080.826$148.39
2025-07-0345.61%+1.310.827$149.44
2025-07-0246.57%+1.770.851$151.94
2025-07-0144.97%+2.330.845$145.04
2025-06-3043.69%+3.030.872$144.33
2025-06-2742.75%+0.930.895$141.44
2025-06-2640.77%+0.860.941$140.69
2025-06-2538.07%+2.651.014$138.54
2025-06-2433.51%+2.661.129$136.31

The chart covers every session in the archive, 317 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 317 sessions

-10.00.010.020.030.05 Sep7 Jan30 Apr22 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

4d (2026-11-13) · 11d (2026-11-20) · 18d (2026-11-27)

60%80%100%120%140%2026-11-13 (4d) — 5Δ C — IV 101.87%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ C — IV 99.51%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ C — IV 101.20%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ C — IV 101.94%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ C — IV 103.08%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ C — IV 101.44%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ C — IV 102.47%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ C — IV 104.32%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ C — IV 110.41%2026-11-13 (4d) — ATM — IV 107.89%2026-11-13 (4d) — 45Δ P — IV 115.20%2026-11-13 (4d) — 40Δ P — IV 110.82%2026-11-13 (4d) — 35Δ P — IV 114.49%2026-11-13 (4d) — 30Δ P — IV 111.87%2026-11-13 (4d) — 25Δ P — IV 115.88%2026-11-13 (4d) — 20Δ P — IV 116.08%2026-11-13 (4d) — 15Δ P — IV 118.68%2026-11-13 (4d) — 10Δ P — IV 122.21%4d2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ C — IV 89.27%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ C — IV 87.77%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ C — IV 89.17%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ C — IV 89.39%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ C — IV 91.17%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ C — IV 91.84%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ C — IV 93.05%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ C — IV 91.25%2026-11-20 (11d) — ATM — IV 93.12%2026-11-20 (11d) — 45Δ P — IV 96.64%2026-11-20 (11d) — 40Δ P — IV 97.43%2026-11-20 (11d) — 35Δ P — IV 99.49%2026-11-20 (11d) — 30Δ P — IV 99.71%2026-11-20 (11d) — 25Δ P — IV 101.38%2026-11-20 (11d) — 20Δ P — IV 104.36%2026-11-20 (11d) — 15Δ P — IV 105.79%2026-11-20 (11d) — 10Δ P — IV 109.04%11d2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ C — IV 82.40%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ C — IV 81.78%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ C — IV 80.54%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ C — IV 81.36%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ C — IV 82.22%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ C — IV 83.41%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ C — IV 85.53%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ C — IV 85.16%2026-11-27 (18d) — ATM — IV 88.08%2026-11-27 (18d) — 45Δ P — IV 87.51%2026-11-27 (18d) — 40Δ P — IV 89.88%2026-11-27 (18d) — 35Δ P — IV 88.12%2026-11-27 (18d) — 30Δ P — IV 90.53%2026-11-27 (18d) — 25Δ P — IV 92.57%2026-11-27 (18d) — 20Δ P — IV 94.84%2026-11-27 (18d) — 15Δ P — IV 95.68%2026-11-27 (18d) — 10Δ P — IV 98.77%18d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta4d11d18d
5Δ call101.87%——
10Δ call99.51%89.27%82.40%
15Δ call101.20%87.77%81.78%
20Δ call101.94%89.17%80.54%
25Δ call103.08%89.39%81.36%
30Δ call101.44%91.17%82.22%
35Δ call102.47%91.84%83.41%
40Δ call104.32%93.05%85.53%
45Δ call110.41%91.25%85.16%
ATM107.89%93.12%88.08%
45Δ put115.20%96.64%87.51%
40Δ put110.82%97.43%89.88%
35Δ put114.49%99.49%88.12%
30Δ put111.87%99.71%90.53%
25Δ put115.88%101.38%92.57%
20Δ put116.08%104.36%94.84%
15Δ put118.68%105.79%95.68%
10Δ put122.21%109.04%98.77%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-11-134$506.50107.89%115.88%103.08%+12.80+1.5871
2026-11-2011$506.7593.12%101.38%89.39%+11.99+2.2669
2026-11-2718$505.9588.08%92.57%81.36%+11.21-1.1271
2026-12-0425$506.1085.87%89.46%81.06%+8.40-0.6063
2026-12-1132$507.2981.67%87.19%79.52%+7.67+1.6955
2026-12-1839$506.3381.39%84.86%77.00%+7.86-0.4657
2026-12-2445$508.6480.03%84.27%75.36%+8.91-0.2251
2027-01-1567$507.9375.14%79.26%72.68%+6.58+0.8363
2027-03-19130$513.2573.52%76.68%70.58%+6.10+0.1177
2027-04-16158$512.2973.51%75.41%70.15%+5.26-0.7371
2027-06-17220$516.3672.05%73.99%69.30%+4.69-0.41113
2027-09-17312$521.7672.06%74.54%68.37%+6.17-0.6176

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

12 listed expirations produced a usable reading

60%80%100%120%2026-11-13 — 4 days — at-the-money IV 107.89%2026-11-20 — 11 days — at-the-money IV 93.12%2026-11-27 — 18 days — at-the-money IV 88.08%2026-12-04 — 25 days — at-the-money IV 85.87%2026-12-11 — 32 days — at-the-money IV 81.67%2026-12-18 — 39 days — at-the-money IV 81.39%2026-12-24 — 45 days — at-the-money IV 80.03%2027-01-15 — 67 days — at-the-money IV 75.14%2027-03-19 — 130 days — at-the-money IV 73.52%2027-04-16 — 158 days — at-the-money IV 73.51%2027-06-17 — 220 days — at-the-money IV 72.05%2027-09-17 — 312 days — at-the-money IV 72.06%7306090180days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-11-134 days$506.50107.89%$509.7471
2026-11-2011 days$506.7593.12%$513.4269
2026-11-2718 days$505.9588.08%$515.7271
2026-12-0425 days$506.1085.87%$519.0463
2026-12-1132 days$507.2981.67%$522.3455
2026-12-1839 days$506.3381.39%$524.5757
2026-12-2445 days$508.6480.03%$529.1351
2027-01-1567 days$507.9375.14%$534.9563
2027-03-19130 days$513.2573.52%$565.1077
2027-04-16158 days$512.2973.51%$575.8571
2027-06-17220 days$516.3672.05%$603.81113
2027-09-17312 days$521.7672.06%$651.4376

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
82.69%
60 days
76.34%
90 days
74.29%
180 days
72.88%

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 317 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.401.605 Sep7 Jan30 Apr22 Aug9 Nov

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2027-01-26Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 6 reports

Landed inside the implied band
1 of 6
17% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
8.3%
Mean move that happened
542.9%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-10-27After the close10.5%+4.5%0.43×
2026-07-28After the close———
2026-04-28After the close———
2026-01-27After the close———
2025-10-28After the close———
2025-07-30After the close3.0%+474.1%160.23×
2025-07-29After the close9.3%+454.3%48.95×
2025-04-29After the close9.1%+937.2%102.89×
2025-01-21After the close8.9%+735.9%82.83×
2024-10-22After the close8.8%+651.4%73.84×
2024-07-23After the close———
2024-04-23After the close———
2024-01-24After the close———
2023-10-26Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.