Options Skew Analytics

TER options analytics

TER · Stock

Data as of 23 September 2026 (end of day)

Some metrics unavailable for this session

TER options are pricing a 30-day at-the-money volatility of 64.3%, a move of about ±18.4% over the next month. Its history here is 222 sessions, short of the 180 a percentile needs, so this reading is not yet ranked against its own past.

Its 25-delta calls carry 1.49 volatility points more than the puts.

Longer-dated options carry more: 90-day volatility is 10% above 30-day.

Its next earnings report is 2026-10-27 (estimated from its reporting cadence).

Across its last 3 reports the options market priced an average move of ±14.9% and TER moved 6.4% on average, staying inside the priced band 3 times out of 3.

Current readings

30-day ATM implied volatilityⓘ
64.25%

Prices a move of about ±18.4% over 30 days, or ±4.0% on a typical day.

25-delta risk reversalⓘ
-1.49

Calls carry 1.49 volatility points more than puts the same distance from the money.

25-delta butterflyⓘ
+0.15

The wings carry 0.15 volatility points more than at-the-money.

Term structure slopeⓘ
1.101

90-day volatility is 10% above 30-day.

Where 30-day implied volatility sits

Against 91 prior sessions (one-year window)

Not enough history in this window to place the current reading.

IV percentile, 1 year
—
IV rank, 1 year
—
IV percentile, 2 years
—
IV rank, 2 years
—

Rank is the position between the lowest and highest readings in the window, so a single past extreme pins everything after it near one end. Percentile is the share of sessions below the current reading and is unaffected by how far that extreme reached. Both are withheld when the window holds fewer than 180 sessions.

Session detail

Underlying close
$389.14
30-day implied forward
$387.64
60-day ATM IV
72.35%
90-day ATM IV
70.75%
180-day ATM IV
—
Expirations used
8
Total open interest
44,323
Put / call open interest
0.84

The forward is derived from put-call parity on the strikes nearest the money, not taken from the underlying close. It is what every moneyness and delta on this page is measured against.

30-day at-the-money implied volatility

Last 222 sessions

20%40%60%80%2024-09-05 — 30-day ATM IV 45%2024-09-06 — 30-day ATM IV 47%2024-09-10 — 30-day ATM IV 45%2024-09-20 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2024-09-23 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2024-09-24 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2024-09-25 — 30-day ATM IV 45%2024-09-26 — 30-day ATM IV 45%2024-09-30 — 30-day ATM IV 48%2024-10-02 — 30-day ATM IV 51%2024-10-04 — 30-day ATM IV 50%2024-10-07 — 30-day ATM IV 53%2024-10-08 — 30-day ATM IV 52%2024-10-16 — 30-day ATM IV 56%2024-10-17 — 30-day ATM IV 55%2024-10-18 — 30-day ATM IV 54%2024-10-21 — 30-day ATM IV 55%2024-10-22 — 30-day ATM IV 57%2024-10-23 — 30-day ATM IV 53%2024-10-24 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2024-10-25 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2024-10-28 — 30-day ATM IV 38%2024-10-30 — 30-day ATM IV 38%2024-10-31 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2024-11-01 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2024-11-20 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2024-11-21 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2024-11-22 — 30-day ATM IV 35%2024-11-26 — 30-day ATM IV 35%2024-12-02 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2024-12-04 — 30-day ATM IV 33%2024-12-05 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2024-12-18 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2024-12-19 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2024-12-20 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2024-12-23 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2024-12-24 — 30-day ATM IV 35%2024-12-30 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2024-12-31 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2025-01-06 — 30-day ATM IV 45%2025-01-07 — 30-day ATM IV 45%2025-01-08 — 30-day ATM IV 49%2025-01-22 — 30-day ATM IV 47%2025-01-23 — 30-day ATM IV 51%2025-01-24 — 30-day ATM IV 52%2025-01-27 — 30-day ATM IV 53%2025-01-28 — 30-day ATM IV 52%2025-01-29 — 30-day ATM IV 55%2025-01-31 — 30-day ATM IV 36%2025-02-04 — 30-day ATM IV 38%2025-02-06 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2025-02-19 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2025-02-20 — 30-day ATM IV 37%2025-02-21 — 30-day ATM IV 39%2025-02-24 — 30-day ATM IV 40%2025-02-25 — 30-day ATM IV 42%2025-02-26 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2025-02-27 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2025-03-03 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2025-03-07 — 30-day ATM IV 45%2025-03-18 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2025-03-19 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2025-03-20 — 30-day ATM IV 41%2025-03-26 — 30-day ATM IV 42%2025-03-28 — 30-day ATM IV 46%2025-04-16 — 30-day ATM IV 67%2025-04-17 — 30-day ATM IV 61%2025-04-21 — 30-day ATM IV 68%2025-04-23 — 30-day ATM IV 61%2025-04-24 — 30-day ATM IV 58%2025-04-25 — 30-day ATM IV 56%2025-04-28 — 30-day ATM IV 57%2025-05-21 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2025-05-22 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2025-05-23 — 30-day ATM IV 46%2025-05-29 — 30-day ATM IV 44%2025-06-02 — 30-day ATM IV 45%2025-06-26 — 30-day ATM IV 43%2026-08-26 — 30-day ATM IV 68%2026-08-28 — 30-day ATM IV 63%2026-08-31 — 30-day ATM IV 61%2026-09-03 — 30-day ATM IV 57%2026-09-10 — 30-day ATM IV 64%2026-09-14 — 30-day ATM IV 64%2026-09-15 — 30-day ATM IV 65%2026-09-16 — 30-day ATM IV 64%2026-09-17 — 30-day ATM IV 62%2026-09-18 — 30-day ATM IV 62%2026-09-21 — 30-day ATM IV 68%2026-09-22 — 30-day ATM IV 67%2026-09-23 — 30-day ATM IV 64%5 Sep31 Oct27 Jan23 Apr23 Sep
Show the underlying numbers (most recent 120)
Session30-day ATM IV25-delta RRTerm slopeClose
2026-09-2364.25%-1.491.101$389.14
2026-09-2267.24%+1.361.027$398.69
2026-09-2168.22%+2.271.030$381.54
2026-09-1861.55%+0.311.079$371.47
2026-09-1761.93%+1.961.137$353.13
2026-09-1663.82%+0.241.065$341.15
2026-09-1564.71%-3.081.043$332.85
2026-09-1463.87%-0.871.063$329.20
2026-09-11———$379.72
2026-09-1064.39%-0.831.095$370.19
2026-09-09———$383.69
2026-09-08———$372.06
2026-09-04———$357.03
2026-09-0357.34%-2.621.171$338.59
2026-09-02———$341.62
2026-09-01———$335.46
2026-08-3160.92%-0.641.132$349.83
2026-08-2863.04%-3.501.138$354.97
2026-08-27———$372.06
2026-08-2668.18%-0.251.088$363.10
2025-06-30———$89.92
2025-06-27———$90.35
2025-06-2643.08%+4.061.033$91.05
2025-06-25———$90.20
2025-06-24———$90.39
2025-06-23———$87.36
2025-06-20———$86.29
2025-06-18———$86.26
2025-06-17———$86.43
2025-06-16———$87.68
2025-06-13———$83.08
2025-06-12———$85.91
2025-06-11———$86.79
2025-06-10———$88.70
2025-06-09———$86.80
2025-06-06———$85.23
2025-06-05———$81.74
2025-06-04———$82.06
2025-06-03———$81.45
2025-06-0244.75%+3.571.102$79.49
2025-05-30———$78.60
2025-05-2944.22%+3.101.115$80.98
2025-05-28———$80.25
2025-05-27———$81.74
2025-05-2346.14%+4.561.077$76.98
2025-05-2244.32%+4.131.091$78.49
2025-05-2144.04%+4.951.088$78.98
2025-05-20———$81.42
2025-05-19———$81.47
2025-05-16———$82.73
2025-05-15———$82.99
2025-05-14———$84.27
2025-05-13———$84.90
2025-05-12———$83.06
2025-05-09———$77.42
2025-05-08———$76.84
2025-05-07———$75.09
2025-05-06———$74.07
2025-05-05———$75.44
2025-05-02———$75.88
2025-05-01———$73.78
2025-04-30———$74.21
2025-04-29———$74.89
2025-04-2857.12%+5.010.892$76.83
2025-04-2555.76%+11.100.874$77.12
2025-04-2457.69%+8.820.888$77.30
2025-04-2360.74%+9.940.864$73.18
2025-04-22———$71.29
2025-04-2167.61%+11.540.867$69.81
2025-04-1760.64%+17.950.935$71.25
2025-04-1666.86%+15.210.839$71.16
2025-04-15———$74.06
2025-04-14———$73.86
2025-04-11———$73.65
2025-04-10———$72.29
2025-04-09———$79.44
2025-04-08———$67.96
2025-04-07———$72.87
2025-04-04———$68.72
2025-04-03———$75.09
2025-04-02———$83.62
2025-04-01———$82.61
2025-03-31———$82.60
2025-03-2845.71%+4.890.970$82.78
2025-03-27———$85.68
2025-03-2641.71%+4.480.997$88.01
2025-03-25———$89.95
2025-03-24———$91.00
2025-03-21———$87.51
2025-03-2041.01%+3.591.060$88.18
2025-03-1941.10%+3.471.130$88.51
2025-03-1844.01%+4.311.043$88.87
2025-03-17———$90.17
2025-03-14———$86.74
2025-03-13———$85.33
2025-03-12———$86.74
2025-03-11———$87.07
2025-03-10———$104.97
2025-03-0745.08%+3.530.962$108.54
2025-03-06———$105.39
2025-03-05———$110.21
2025-03-04———$107.23
2025-03-0344.24%+3.320.920$105.78
2025-02-28———$109.86
2025-02-2744.28%+0.790.952$108.81
2025-02-2643.23%-0.130.923$114.81
2025-02-2542.28%+1.460.954$111.35
2025-02-2440.37%+0.791.000$113.58
2025-02-2139.33%+3.110.992$115.91
2025-02-2037.38%+0.891.038$118.55
2025-02-1937.39%+1.451.009$115.90
2025-02-18———$115.08
2025-02-14———$113.25
2025-02-13———$112.84
2025-02-12———$111.54
2025-02-11———$112.72
2025-02-10———$114.06
2025-02-07———$113.23
2025-02-0636.89%+2.591.056$114.07
2025-02-05———$112.61

The chart covers every session in the archive, 222 in total. The table lists the most recent 120.

25-delta risk reversal

Last 222 sessions

-10.00.010.020.02024-09-05 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.72024-09-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.92024-09-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.62024-09-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.82024-09-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.52024-09-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.82024-09-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.02024-09-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.82024-09-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.82024-10-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 6.52024-10-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.62024-10-07 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 6.02024-10-08 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.12024-10-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.02024-10-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.42024-10-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.72024-10-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.62024-10-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.72024-10-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.12024-10-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.32024-10-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.32024-10-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.02024-10-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.32024-10-31 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.22024-11-01 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.92024-11-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.02024-11-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.12024-11-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.42024-11-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.72024-12-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.92024-12-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.02024-12-05 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.02024-12-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.02024-12-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.72024-12-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 7.92024-12-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.42024-12-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.12024-12-30 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.52024-12-31 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.82025-01-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.02025-01-07 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.22025-01-08 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.02025-01-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.92025-01-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.02025-01-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.32025-01-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.72025-01-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.82025-01-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.52025-01-31 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.22025-02-04 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.82025-02-06 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.62025-02-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52025-02-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.92025-02-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.12025-02-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.82025-02-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.52025-02-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.12025-02-27 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.82025-03-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.32025-03-07 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.52025-03-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.32025-03-19 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.52025-03-20 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.62025-03-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.52025-03-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.92025-04-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 15.22025-04-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 17.92025-04-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 11.52025-04-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 9.92025-04-24 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 8.82025-04-25 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 11.12025-04-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.02025-05-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 5.02025-05-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.12025-05-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.62025-05-29 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.12025-06-02 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 3.62025-06-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 4.12026-08-26 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.32026-08-28 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.52026-08-31 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.62026-09-03 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -2.62026-09-10 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.82026-09-14 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -0.92026-09-15 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -3.12026-09-16 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.22026-09-17 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.02026-09-18 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 0.32026-09-21 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 2.32026-09-22 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) 1.42026-09-23 — 25-delta RR (volatility points) -1.55 Sep31 Oct27 Jan23 Apr23 Sep

The dashed line marks zero, where the 25-delta put and call carry the same implied volatility.

Skew curve

Implied volatility by delta, front expirations

Implied volatility by delta

9d (2026-10-02) · 16d (2026-10-09) · 23d (2026-10-16)

55%60%65%70%75%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ C — IV 69.39%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ C — IV 68.75%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ C — IV 67.01%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ C — IV 64.46%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ C — IV 68.16%2026-10-02 (9d) — ATM — IV 63.68%2026-10-02 (9d) — 45Δ P — IV 67.77%2026-10-02 (9d) — 40Δ P — IV 65.41%2026-10-02 (9d) — 35Δ P — IV 65.57%2026-10-02 (9d) — 30Δ P — IV 66.23%2026-10-02 (9d) — 25Δ P — IV 65.31%2026-10-02 (9d) — 20Δ P — IV 65.15%2026-10-02 (9d) — 15Δ P — IV 65.72%2026-10-02 (9d) — 10Δ P — IV 66.93%9d2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ C — IV 64.49%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ C — IV 63.29%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ C — IV 64.00%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ C — IV 64.76%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ C — IV 64.29%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ C — IV 64.57%2026-10-09 (16d) — ATM — IV 66.02%2026-10-09 (16d) — 45Δ P — IV 62.39%2026-10-09 (16d) — 40Δ P — IV 62.06%2026-10-09 (16d) — 35Δ P — IV 62.01%2026-10-09 (16d) — 30Δ P — IV 60.41%2026-10-09 (16d) — 25Δ P — IV 59.51%2026-10-09 (16d) — 20Δ P — IV 60.95%16d2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ C — IV 66.54%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ C — IV 65.89%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ C — IV 66.09%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ C — IV 66.31%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ C — IV 65.72%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ C — IV 65.57%2026-10-16 (23d) — ATM — IV 65.66%2026-10-16 (23d) — 45Δ P — IV 66.21%2026-10-16 (23d) — 40Δ P — IV 65.13%2026-10-16 (23d) — 35Δ P — IV 64.83%2026-10-16 (23d) — 30Δ P — IV 64.82%2026-10-16 (23d) — 25Δ P — IV 66.39%2026-10-16 (23d) — 20Δ P — IV 64.56%2026-10-16 (23d) — 15Δ P — IV 64.93%2026-10-16 (23d) — 10Δ P — IV 64.59%23d10Δ C25Δ CATM25Δ P10Δ Pout-of-the-money calls ← delta → out-of-the-money puts

The axis is call delta. Readings to the right of the dashed centre line are taken from the out-of-the-money put at that strike, which is the contract whose quote the volatility was solved from. Points are only plotted where surviving quotes bracket the delta on both sides; nothing is extrapolated past the last traded strike.

Show the underlying numbers
Delta9d16d23d
20Δ call—64.49%66.54%
25Δ call69.39%63.29%65.89%
30Δ call68.75%64.00%66.09%
35Δ call67.01%64.76%66.31%
40Δ call64.46%64.29%65.72%
45Δ call68.16%64.57%65.57%
ATM63.68%66.02%65.66%
45Δ put67.77%62.39%66.21%
40Δ put65.41%62.06%65.13%
35Δ put65.57%62.01%64.83%
30Δ put66.23%60.41%64.82%
25Δ put65.31%59.51%66.39%
20Δ put65.15%60.95%64.56%
15Δ put65.72%—64.93%
10Δ put66.93%—64.59%

Wing readings by expiration

ExpirationDaysForwardATM IV25Δ put25Δ callRRButterflyQuotes
2026-10-029$387.8563.68%65.31%69.39%-4.08+3.6815
2026-10-0916$387.1066.02%59.51%63.29%-3.78-4.6224
2026-10-1623$388.1565.66%66.39%65.89%+0.50+0.4831
2026-10-2330$387.6464.25%63.66%65.15%-1.49+0.1527
2026-10-3037$387.1677.04%74.86%77.17%-2.31-1.0234
2026-11-2058$389.6572.49%73.04%73.71%-0.68+0.8834
2026-12-1886$390.9671.09%70.96%70.08%+0.87-0.5727
2027-01-15114$391.7769.21%68.27%68.38%-0.10-0.8939

Each curve above is one expiration. The vertical position is implied volatility; the horizontal position is the delta of the contract it was read from. For US equities the curve normally slopes upward to the right, meaning out-of-the-money puts carry higher implied volatility than equidistant calls.

The 25-delta risk reversal summarises that slope as a single number: the 25-delta put volatility minus the 25-delta call volatility. The butterfly summarises the curvature: the average of the two wings minus the at-the-money reading.

Term structure

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

At-the-money implied volatility by expiration

8 listed expirations produced a usable reading

60%65%70%75%80%2026-10-02 — 9 days — at-the-money IV 63.68%2026-10-09 — 16 days — at-the-money IV 66.02%2026-10-16 — 23 days — at-the-money IV 65.66%2026-10-23 — 30 days — at-the-money IV 64.25%2026-10-30 — 37 days — at-the-money IV 77.04%2026-11-20 — 58 days — at-the-money IV 72.49%2026-12-18 — 86 days — at-the-money IV 71.09%2027-01-15 — 114 days — at-the-money IV 69.21%306090days to expiration

The horizontal axis is the square root of days to expiration, which is the scale volatility lives on. A curve that is flat in variance terms plots as a straight line here rather than bending sharply through the front week.

Show the underlying numbers
ExpirationDaysForwardATM IVATM strikeQuotes used
2026-10-029 days$387.8563.68%$389.7915
2026-10-0916 days$387.1066.02%$390.8224
2026-10-1623 days$388.1565.66%$393.4531
2026-10-2330 days$387.6464.25%$394.2727
2026-10-3037 days$387.1677.04%$398.9834
2026-11-2058 days$389.6572.49%$406.2634
2026-12-1886 days$390.9671.09%$414.9427
2027-01-15114 days$391.7769.21%$422.2139

Constant maturities

Interpolated between the bracketing listed expirations, in total variance

30 days
64.25%
60 days
72.35%
90 days
70.75%
180 days
—

Interpolation is linear in total variance, not in volatility. Interpolating volatility directly implies a forward variance that can be negative between two expirations. A tenor beyond the longest listed expiration is reported as unavailable rather than extrapolated.

Term structure slope

Last 222 sessions

0.600.801.001.201.402024-09-05 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042024-09-06 — 90-day over 30-day 1.022024-09-10 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042024-09-20 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032024-09-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012024-09-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002024-09-25 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982024-09-26 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982024-09-30 — 90-day over 30-day 0.942024-10-02 — 90-day over 30-day 0.922024-10-04 — 90-day over 30-day 0.922024-10-07 — 90-day over 30-day 0.892024-10-08 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872024-10-16 — 90-day over 30-day 0.822024-10-17 — 90-day over 30-day 0.822024-10-18 — 90-day over 30-day 0.832024-10-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.822024-10-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.812024-10-23 — 90-day over 30-day 0.822024-10-24 — 90-day over 30-day 0.832024-10-25 — 90-day over 30-day 0.962024-10-28 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982024-10-30 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982024-10-31 — 90-day over 30-day 0.982024-11-01 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012024-11-20 — 90-day over 30-day 1.102024-11-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122024-11-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.152024-11-26 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082024-12-02 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062024-12-04 — 90-day over 30-day 1.182024-12-05 — 90-day over 30-day 1.132024-12-18 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972024-12-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002024-12-20 — 90-day over 30-day 1.142024-12-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.112024-12-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122024-12-30 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092024-12-31 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032025-01-06 — 90-day over 30-day 0.932025-01-07 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012025-01-08 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872025-01-22 — 90-day over 30-day 0.892025-01-23 — 90-day over 30-day 0.822025-01-24 — 90-day over 30-day 0.792025-01-27 — 90-day over 30-day 0.852025-01-28 — 90-day over 30-day 0.842025-01-31 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012025-02-04 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032025-02-06 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062025-02-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.012025-02-20 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042025-02-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.992025-02-24 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002025-02-25 — 90-day over 30-day 0.952025-02-26 — 90-day over 30-day 0.922025-02-27 — 90-day over 30-day 0.952025-03-03 — 90-day over 30-day 0.922025-03-07 — 90-day over 30-day 0.962025-03-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042025-03-19 — 90-day over 30-day 1.132025-03-20 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062025-03-26 — 90-day over 30-day 1.002025-03-28 — 90-day over 30-day 0.972025-04-16 — 90-day over 30-day 0.842025-04-17 — 90-day over 30-day 0.932025-04-21 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872025-04-23 — 90-day over 30-day 0.862025-04-24 — 90-day over 30-day 0.892025-04-25 — 90-day over 30-day 0.872025-04-28 — 90-day over 30-day 0.892025-05-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092025-05-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092025-05-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082025-05-29 — 90-day over 30-day 1.122025-06-02 — 90-day over 30-day 1.102025-06-26 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032026-08-26 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092026-08-28 — 90-day over 30-day 1.142026-08-31 — 90-day over 30-day 1.132026-09-03 — 90-day over 30-day 1.172026-09-10 — 90-day over 30-day 1.092026-09-14 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062026-09-15 — 90-day over 30-day 1.042026-09-16 — 90-day over 30-day 1.062026-09-17 — 90-day over 30-day 1.142026-09-18 — 90-day over 30-day 1.082026-09-21 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032026-09-22 — 90-day over 30-day 1.032026-09-23 — 90-day over 30-day 1.105 Sep30 Oct27 Jan23 Apr23 Sep

The dashed line marks 1.00, where the 90-day and 30-day at-the-money volatilities are equal. Above it the longer tenor carries the higher volatility.

The term structure is the at-the-money implied volatility of each listed expiration, plotted against how far away that expiration is. Its usual shape for a calm underlying slopes gently upward, because a longer horizon admits more uncertainty.

It inverts when the market prices a dated event: an expiration that captures a scheduled announcement carries the variance of that event on top of ordinary trading, so a shorter contract can print a higher volatility than a longer one.

Earnings

What the options priced in before each report, and what happened

Next report

2026-10-27Time not statedEstimated from its reporting cadence

How the pricing has held up

Over the last 3 reports

Landed inside the implied band
3 of 3
100% — about 68% is what an exactly-priced event gives
Mean implied move
14.9%
Mean move that happened
6.4%
absolute

Reports

Newest first. The implied move is one standard deviation, priced from the session before the release.

ReportSessionImplied ±RealisedRealised / implied
2026-07-29Before the open———
2026-04-29Before the open———
2026-02-03Before the open———
2025-10-29Before the open———
2025-07-30Before the open———
2025-04-29Before the open14.7%-2.5%0.17×
2025-01-30Before the open15.8%-5.7%0.36×
2024-10-24Before the open14.4%-11.0%0.76×
2024-07-25Before the open———
2024-04-25Before the open———
2024-01-31Before the open———
2023-10-26Before the open———

The implied move is read from the at-the-money straddle on the first expiration strictly after the report date, converted to a one-standard-deviation move and divided by the forward. Realised moves are the close-to-close return across the event, measured from the session before the release to the session after it.

Report dates that have already happened come from the company’s own 8-K filing and are exact. A date still in the future is either one the company has announced, or an estimate from its reporting cadence.